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Dec 7, 2012
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now, again, back to hurricane sandy. from the commissioner's statement, the storm we saw happen on october 29th, the next pay period ended on november 12th. the way bls essentially keeps score it says workers have to be off work for the entire pay period to be counted on the negative side. on the household survey side, persons who missed work for weather-related events are counted as employed whether or not they are paid for the time off. we did have a drop in the labor force participation rate, down 0.2 to 63.6%. how did we get to 7.7% unemployment? basically the number of unemployed persons dropped more than the number of employed and there were downward trends in both those categories. lots to chew on. back to you guys. >> hampton, thank you. we are kind of scratching our heads. let's get more reaction from our panel. mark zandi and jared bernstein are here with us. mark, what do you make of this number? we've set this up as numbers were not going to be things we watched closely because of sandy. >> i'd say two things
now, again, back to hurricane sandy. from the commissioner's statement, the storm we saw happen on october 29th, the next pay period ended on november 12th. the way bls essentially keeps score it says workers have to be off work for the entire pay period to be counted on the negative side. on the household survey side, persons who missed work for weather-related events are counted as employed whether or not they are paid for the time off. we did have a drop in the labor force participation...
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Dec 10, 2012
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some of that is sandy. you can't disentangle it. i'm sure it would have been better if it weren't for the uncertainty. we saw how bad it was in the summer of '11 and it will be the same now. >> i very much agree with ian on this point, that the uncertainty is associated with the fiscal cliff is at least a percentage point on the fourth quarter. and could be more than that. it's just a lurking weight on the business sector. and if we are going to get this growth, i think we've got to have a little bit more certainty on taxes, on regulation, and the trajectory of fiscal policy going forward. >> what i hear you both saying, though, and you're talking about spending issue, and not worrying so much about that, but i also hear you saying it would be a big mistake to raise taxes. >> absolutely. yeah. >> but the top 2%, is that the least deleterious people to raise it on? >> yeah, it would be. but right now i'd prefer not to raise taxes on anybody. but if you're going to do it, then the people at the lowest propensity to consume -- >> you d
some of that is sandy. you can't disentangle it. i'm sure it would have been better if it weren't for the uncertainty. we saw how bad it was in the summer of '11 and it will be the same now. >> i very much agree with ian on this point, that the uncertainty is associated with the fiscal cliff is at least a percentage point on the fourth quarter. and could be more than that. it's just a lurking weight on the business sector. and if we are going to get this growth, i think we've got to have...
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Dec 18, 2012
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i am saying that the military-type weapons, the type of weapon that was used in sandy hook, last friday, in my view, should be banned. that is not a -- i don't believe that that abridges someone's second amendment rights. the high capacity magazines do not abridge people's constitutional rights. and i think you're seeing more and more people on all sides of this issue come to the table and say, let's reason together, and look at how we avoid the situation in the future. >> congresswoman we're going to have to leave it there. this is a conversation that, of course, is going to continue. we thank you for joining us this morning. >> up next, former omb director david stockman ready to rise above and tell us why he thinks the fed is at the heart of the problem when it comes to solving our nation's budget woes. "squawk box" will be right back. time to market reduced... those are good things. upstairs, they will see fantasy. not fantasy... logistics. ups came in, analyzed our supply chain, inventory systems... ups? ups. not fantasy? who would have thought? i did. we did, bob. we did. got it.
i am saying that the military-type weapons, the type of weapon that was used in sandy hook, last friday, in my view, should be banned. that is not a -- i don't believe that that abridges someone's second amendment rights. the high capacity magazines do not abridge people's constitutional rights. and i think you're seeing more and more people on all sides of this issue come to the table and say, let's reason together, and look at how we avoid the situation in the future. >> congresswoman...
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Dec 11, 2012
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i don't know -- >> sandy didn't do it. >> i don't know how to make it any better. all right, time heals all wounds. hopefully next time we'll hear some better news from you. >> i hope so, too. thanks, joe, thanks andrew. >> maybe we'll get some better news right now. steve liesman joins us with the results there cnbc's latest fed survey. steve? can you make it any better? >> i don't know about that. what we have, andrew, is overwhelming support from our -- or expectation from our respondents, 48 respondents, economists, wall street strategists, and analysts, that the fed will replace twist with outright asset purchases. disagreement on how they'll do it and increasing concern about all these purchases and the effect on the market. let's start off with the disagreement about how they're going to do it. we asked people, will the fed purchase only treasuries when it replaces operation twist? or will it purchase treasuries and mortgages? you can see that they're about split on this. unclear what chairman bernanke is going to announce tomorrow. now, how about how much q
i don't know -- >> sandy didn't do it. >> i don't know how to make it any better. all right, time heals all wounds. hopefully next time we'll hear some better news from you. >> i hope so, too. thanks, joe, thanks andrew. >> maybe we'll get some better news right now. steve liesman joins us with the results there cnbc's latest fed survey. steve? can you make it any better? >> i don't know about that. what we have, andrew, is overwhelming support from our -- or...
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Dec 27, 2012
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all of a sudden then, we had the impacts of sandy, a tragedy up in newtown, connecticut, and just a lot of other factors that just put a damper on the season. >> so, it is fair to say that it started better than it ended now. >> it started better than it ended. there was a lot of excitement around black friday. i mean it was almost like the super bowl. they have all this advertising, drag people out, it's the biggest event of the year come shopping, and then week after that we had the pro bowl. there was no excitement. there was no reason to come out shopping. so big bang, but it kind of waned as we went into the season. >> how much of the season is in the books now? i mean, what's still left to happen? >> there's a couple of big days still coming. i think this weekend is a big weekend as people redeem gift cards, go into the stores, exchange items for what they're looking for. hopefully get that add-on sale and people start to take advantage of the clearance sale, i would say, though, 95% of it is in the books. we've probably got some strong days ahead of us, though, that could move it
all of a sudden then, we had the impacts of sandy, a tragedy up in newtown, connecticut, and just a lot of other factors that just put a damper on the season. >> so, it is fair to say that it started better than it ended now. >> it started better than it ended. there was a lot of excitement around black friday. i mean it was almost like the super bowl. they have all this advertising, drag people out, it's the biggest event of the year come shopping, and then week after that we had...